If you took the Seahawks and the points in Super Bowl LX, pour yourself a top-shelf bourbon. If you took the Under? Buy a round for the house. Seattle’s 29–13 dismantling of the Patriots wasn't just a win; it was a masterclass in how a dominant defense can turn a "generational" QB into a deer in headlights.

For those of us watching the lines, this game was a reminder that while offense sells tickets, Mike Macdonald’s defensive schemes pay for the offshore account. Here’s the betting breakdown of how the Seahawks bullied the Pats and why the "Maye-VP" hype train hit a brick wall.


The "Mac Attack" and the Death of the Over

Drake Maye entered the night as the MVP runner-up, but he left looking like a guy who forgot how to read a GPS. Macdonald’s post-snap rotations were pure evil. If you’re a live-bettor, you saw the tell early: Maye was clutching the ball, hitching, and panicking.

Seattle’s secondary didn't just cover wideouts; they erased them. This forced Maye to hold the rock, allowing the D-line to "eat" to the tune of six sacks. When a QB is moving off his first read and seeing ghosts, the Under becomes the safest bet in the building.

  • Punter’s Note: New England didn't just struggle; they cratered. They generated four total first downs in the first half. If you see a defense confusing a young QB early with DB pressures (looking at you, Devon Witherspoon), start hammering the "Next Drive: Punt" props.

Kenneth Walker III: The Bank-Breaker

While Sam Darnold looked like he was throwing a wet bar of soap (finishing with a cringey -9.4% completion percentage over expected), Kenneth Walker III decided he wanted to be the highest-paid RB in league history.

New England’s defense hadn't allowed a back to sniff 40 yards all postseason. Walker doubled that before halftime. He finished with 135 yards on 27 carries, playing with the kind of "patient-then-violent" style that made Le’Veon Bell a fantasy legend.

  • The Betting Edge: In games with a shaky QB and a high-end defense, the Over on RB Rushing Attempts is usually a goldmine. Seattle knew Darnold was a liability, so they fed the beast. Walker’s five runs of 10+ yards were the daggers for any Pats moneyline backers.

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Why the Scoreboard Lied

Don't let the 29–13 score fool you into thinking it was a "back and forth" affair. Maye’s 295 yards were the definition of "garbage time" production.

The Pats offense "crapped out" (technical term) in the third quarter, going three-and-out on three straight possessions. Mike Vrabel’s defense actually played its heart out, holding Seattle to 1-of-4 in the red zone and forcing five field goals. If New England had an offense that could do more than sneeze, the Pats +3.5 might have actually hit.

Kicker's Corner: The Jason Myers Invitational

In a game where the stars were struggling to find the end zone, Jason Myers was the MVP of the "Steady Money" club. Five field goals set a Super Bowl record.

When you have a punter like Michael Dickson pinning a team inside their own 7-yard line three times, you don't need explosive plays; you just need to not miss. Seattle won in all three phases, but they won the Spread because they didn't beat themselves.

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